SAM SACHDEVA
Fears of an earthquake-driven exodus from Christchurch have been dispelled by a new study. At worst, up to 8000 people may leave the city in the year after the February 22 quake, the report said. Estimates soon after the quake suggested up to 70,000 people had temporarily fled the city, with some experts saying 4 per cent of the city's population – about 16,000 residents – could stay away for a year. The study found that population levels were likely to change by no more than 2 per cent in the year after the quake and could even increase as construction workers arrived for the rebuilding effort. The study's author, Tom Love, of Australasian consulting firm Sapere Research Group, said many residents had commitments in the city that could not be easily broken. "People are tied to their location through employment, home ownership and a whole bunch of things like that, and those are really strong ties."
Fears of an earthquake-driven exodus from Christchurch have been dispelled by a new study. At worst, up to 8000 people may leave the city in the year after the February 22 quake, the report said. Estimates soon after the quake suggested up to 70,000 people had temporarily fled the city, with some experts saying 4 per cent of the city's population – about 16,000 residents – could stay away for a year. The study found that population levels were likely to change by no more than 2 per cent in the year after the quake and could even increase as construction workers arrived for the rebuilding effort. The study's author, Tom Love, of Australasian consulting firm Sapere Research Group, said many residents had commitments in the city that could not be easily broken. "People are tied to their location through employment, home ownership and a whole bunch of things like that, and those are really strong ties."
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